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Gaming

Probability System Calculator

Calculate gacha rates, drop chances, and success probabilities in games

Expected Attempts2.5 attemptsView results
%

Real-time Results

Expected Attempts
2.5attempts
Expected Total Cost
2,500gold/currency
Failure Penalty

Cumulative Success Probability

Probability of at least 1 success by attempt N

ItemValue
Prob after 1 attempts40.00%
Prob after 2 attempts64.00%
Prob after 3 attempts78.40%
Prob after 5 attempts92.22%
Prob after 10 attempts99.40%
Prob after 20 attempts100.00%
Prob after 50 attempts100.00%
Prob after 100 attempts100.00%

Supported inputs

InputDescription
Success Rate per Attempt (%) (%)Probability of a single enhancement attempt succeeding
Cost per AttemptGold / currency per enhancement attempt
Target SuccessesEnter the number of successful attempts you want to achieve
Failure PenaltyThe consequence or penalty when an enhancement attempt fails

nothing · downgrade · destroy

Formula
Expected attempts = 1 / p
Expected total attempts = (1/p) × successes needed
Total cost = Expected attempts × cost per attempt

P(at least 1 in n attempts) = 1 − (1−p)ⁿ
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